Model estimate · expected goals 1.75 – 0.85
Market-based estimate: built from current bookmaker odds (margin removed), adjusted for injuries and head-to-head where available. Outcome probabilities are Real Sociedad 58%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Coruna 17%, making "Real Sociedad or Draw" the strongest result-based option. Model probability 83%; confidence 74/100 after adjusting for data completeness (60%). Not available: League scoring averages (model prior used), Season home/away goal records, Recent form (last 5)….
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Bet responsibly.
Correct Score — Even the most likely score (1-0) is only 12% likely.
Deportivo La Coruna to win — Model gives it only 17%.
Odds may have changed. Verify current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.