Model estimate · expected goals 0.95 – 3.09
Market-based estimate: built from current bookmaker odds (margin removed), adjusted for injuries and head-to-head where available. Outcome probabilities are FC Augsburg 8%, draw 13%, Bayern München 79%, making "Bayern München to win" the strongest result-based option. Model probability 79%; confidence 70/100 after adjusting for data completeness (60%). Not available: League scoring averages (model prior used), Season home/away goal records, Recent form (last 5)….
Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Bet responsibly.
Correct Score — Even the most likely score (0-3) is only 9% likely.
FC Augsburg to win — Model gives it only 8%.
Odds may have changed. Verify current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.