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Predictions
England · ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Fri 09 Oct, 20:00London Stadium
WH
West Ham
Home
VS
Kick-off 09/10/2026, 20:00
Q
QPR
Away

Outcome probabilities

Model estimate · expected goals 1.85 – 0.88

59%
Home win
West Ham
24%
Draw
Draw
17%
Away win
QPR
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score50%

Recommended markets

Data completeness 60%
73%
Best selection · Double Chance
West Ham or Draw
Low–Medium riskOdds 1.12
  • 1
    West Ham or Draw
    Double Chance · P 83% · fair 1.20 · edge -7%
    73%1.12
  • 2
    Under 3.5 Goals
    Over/Under 3.5 Goals · P 71% · fair 1.41 · edge +15%
    62%1.62
  • 3
    West Ham Over 0.5 Goals
    Home Team Goals O/U 0.5 · P 84% · fair 1.19
    74%—
  • 4
    West Ham (DNB)
    Draw No Bet · P 78% · fair 1.28 · edge -8%
    69%1.18
  • 5
    West Ham or QPR
    Double Chance · P 76% · fair 1.32 · edge -7%
    67%1.22
  • 6
    Over 1.5 Goals
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals · P 76% · fair 1.31 · edge -11%
    67%1.17
Avoid

Correct Score — Even the most likely score (1-1) is only 11% likely.

QPR to win — Model gives it only 17%.

Why this prediction

Market-based estimate: built from current bookmaker odds (margin removed), adjusted for injuries and head-to-head where available. Outcome probabilities are West Ham 59%, draw 24%, QPR 17%, making "West Ham or Draw" the strongest result-based option. Model probability 83%; confidence 73/100 after adjusting for data completeness (60%). Not available: League scoring averages (model prior used), Season home/away goal records, Recent form (last 5)….

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Bet responsibly.

Market odds

Odds via Bet365 · 11 h ago
Double Chance
QPR or Draw2.38
Match Winner
West Ham to win1.50
Match Winner
Draw4.20
Match Winner
QPR to win6.00
Draw No Bet
West Ham (DNB)1.18
Draw No Bet
QPR (DNB)4.50
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals1.17
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Under 1.5 Goals5.00
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals1.53
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals2.50
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Over 3.5 Goals2.30
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Under 3.5 Goals1.62
Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Over 0.5 Goals1.02
Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Under 0.5 Goals17.00
OU_8_5
Over 8.5 Goals51.00
OU_8_5
Under 8.5 Goals1.00
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Over 4.5 Goals4.00
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 Goals1.25
OU_7_5
Over 7.5 Goals26.00
OU_7_5
Under 7.5 Goals1.01
OU_5_5
Over 5.5 Goals7.00
OU_5_5
Under 5.5 Goals1.10
OU_6_5
Over 6.5 Goals15.00
OU_6_5
Under 6.5 Goals1.03
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No2.20
Double Chance
West Ham or Draw1.12
Double Chance
West Ham or QPR1.22

Odds may have changed. Verify current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.