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Predictions
Brazil · Serie ARegular Season - 29Fri 09 Oct, 01:30Estádio do Maracanã
F
Fluminense
Home
VS
Kick-off 09/10/2026, 01:30
C
Coritiba
Away

Outcome probabilities

Model estimate · expected goals 1.85 – 0.73

63%
Home win
Fluminense
23%
Draw
Draw
13%
Away win
Coritiba
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score44%

Recommended markets

Data completeness 60%
73%
Best selection · Draw No Bet
Fluminense (DNB)
Low–Medium riskOdds 1.14
  • 1
    Fluminense (DNB)
    Draw No Bet · P 83% · fair 1.21 · edge -6%
    73%1.14
  • 2
    Fluminense Over 0.5 Goals
    Home Team Goals O/U 0.5 · P 84% · fair 1.19
    74%—
  • 3
    Under 3.5 Goals
    Over/Under 3.5 Goals · P 74% · fair 1.35 · edge +1%
    65%1.36
  • 4
    Coritiba Under 1.5 Goals
    Away Team Goals O/U 1.5 · P 83% · fair 1.20
    73%—
  • 5
    Fluminense or Coritiba
    Double Chance · P 77% · fair 1.31 · edge -7%
    67%1.22
  • 6
    Over 1.5 Goals
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals · P 74% · fair 1.36 · edge -6%
    65%1.28
Avoid

Correct Score — Even the most likely score (1-0) is only 13% likely.

Coritiba to win — Model gives it only 13%.

Why this prediction

Market-based estimate: built from current bookmaker odds (margin removed), adjusted for injuries and head-to-head where available. Outcome probabilities are Fluminense 63%, draw 23%, Coritiba 13%, making "Fluminense (DNB)" the strongest result-based option. Model probability 83%; confidence 73/100 after adjusting for data completeness (60%). Not available: League scoring averages (model prior used), Season home/away goal records, Recent form (last 5)….

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Bet responsibly.

Market odds

Odds via Bet365 · 11 h ago
Match Winner
Fluminense to win1.48
Match Winner
Draw4.20
Match Winner
Coritiba to win7.50
Draw No Bet
Fluminense (DNB)1.14
Draw No Bet
Coritiba (DNB)5.50
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals1.95
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Over 3.5 Goals3.20
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Under 3.5 Goals1.36
Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Over 0.5 Goals1.05
Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Under 0.5 Goals11.00
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Over 4.5 Goals6.00
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 Goals1.12
OU_7_5
Over 7.5 Goals51.00
OU_7_5
Under 7.5 Goals1.00
OU_5_5
Over 5.5 Goals13.00
OU_5_5
Under 5.5 Goals1.04
OU_6_5
Over 6.5 Goals26.00
OU_6_5
Under 6.5 Goals1.01
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No1.75
Double Chance
Fluminense or Draw1.10
Double Chance
Fluminense or Coritiba1.22
Double Chance
Coritiba or Draw2.62

Odds may have changed. Verify current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.