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Predictions
Turkey · Süper LigRegular Season - 7Fri 09 Oct, 18:00Rams Park
G
Galatasaray
Home
VS
Kick-off 09/10/2026, 18:00
K
Kasımpaşa
Away

Outcome probabilities

Model estimate · expected goals 2.34 – 0.79

71%
Home win
Galatasaray
18%
Draw
Draw
10%
Away win
Kasımpaşa
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score50%

Recommended markets

Data completeness 60%
70%
Best selection · Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 Goals
Low–Medium riskOdds 1.28
  • 1
    Under 4.5 Goals
    Over/Under 4.5 Goals · P 79% · fair 1.26 · edge +2%
    70%1.28
  • 2
    Over 1.5 Goals
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals · P 83% · fair 1.21 · edge -8%
    73%1.12
  • 3
    Galatasaray or Kasımpaşa
    Double Chance · P 82% · fair 1.23 · edge -7%
    72%1.14
  • 4
    2nd Half Over 0.5 Goals
    2nd Half Goals O/U 0.5 · P 83% · fair 1.21
    73%—
  • 5
    Kasımpaşa Under 1.5 Goals
    Away Team Goals O/U 1.5 · P 81% · fair 1.23
    71%—
  • 6
    Galatasaray to win
    Match Winner · P 71% · fair 1.40 · edge -11%
    63%1.25
Avoid

Correct Score — Even the most likely score (2-0) is only 12% likely.

Kasımpaşa to win — Model gives it only 10%.

Why this prediction

Market-based estimate: built from current bookmaker odds (margin removed), adjusted for injuries and head-to-head where available. Both sides' scoring records point to a tight game of roughly 3.1 expected goals, supporting under 4.5 goals. Model probability 79%; confidence 70/100 after adjusting for data completeness (60%). Not available: League scoring averages (model prior used), Season home/away goal records, Recent form (last 5)….

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Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Bet responsibly.

Market odds

Odds via Bet365 · 11 h ago
Match Winner
Galatasaray to win1.25
Match Winner
Draw5.50
Match Winner
Kasımpaşa to win10.00
Draw No Bet
Galatasaray (DNB)1.07
Draw No Bet
Kasımpaşa (DNB)9.00
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals1.12
Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Under 1.5 Goals6.00
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals1.44
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals2.70
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Over 3.5 Goals2.10
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Under 3.5 Goals1.67
Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Over 0.5 Goals1.02
Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Under 0.5 Goals19.00
OU_8_5
Over 8.5 Goals51.00
OU_8_5
Under 8.5 Goals1.00
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Over 4.5 Goals3.50
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 Goals1.28
OU_7_5
Over 7.5 Goals26.00
OU_7_5
Under 7.5 Goals1.01
OU_5_5
Over 5.5 Goals6.50
OU_5_5
Under 5.5 Goals1.11
OU_6_5
Over 6.5 Goals13.00
OU_6_5
Under 6.5 Goals1.04
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes1.83
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No1.83
Double Chance
Galatasaray or Draw1.06
Double Chance
Galatasaray or Kasımpaşa1.14
Double Chance
Kasımpaşa or Draw3.75

Odds may have changed. Verify current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa — Analysis · Oddazo